Archives for June 2023

Markets anticipating falling inflation in the US but slowing economy too

Last week the Bank of England surprised markets by lifting interest rates by 0.5% (0.25% was expected) – its 13th consecutive hike. The UK central bank said they would lift rates higher if inflation pressure continued. This followed the release of UK inflation data earlier in the week which showed CPI at 8.7% in May which was unchanged from April and higher than market expectations.

Full report
https://realmim.com/markets-anticipating-falling-inflation-in-the-us-but-slowing-economy-too/

Disclaimer: ‘Where the business has expressed opinions, they are based on current market conditions, they may differ from those of other investment professionals and are subject to change without notice. The information contained within this communication is believed to be reliable but Realm Investment Management Limited does not warrant its completeness or accuracy.

This communication is not intended as a recommendation to invest in any particular asset class, security or strategy. Regulatory requirements that require impartiality of investment/investment strategy recommendations are therefore not applicable nor are any prohibitions to trade before publication. The information provided is for illustrative purposes only, it should not be relied upon as recommendations to buy or sell investments.’

Pound and Gilt Yield higher ahead of BoE decision this week

Market Review from Realm Investment Management – week ending 16th June 2023

Global stock-markets were higher last week after the US Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged but the Fed made it clear it plans to hike rates further in months to come. By how much and when will depend on inflation data which will determine “the extent of additional policy firming that may be appropriate.” Chairman Powell said it would probably be “about a couple years out” before rates might be cut.

Full report
https://realmim.com/pound-and-gilt-yield-higher-ahead-of-boe-decision-this-week/

Disclaimer: ‘Where the business has expressed opinions, they are based on current market conditions, they may differ from those of other investment professionals and are subject to change without notice. The information contained within this communication is believed to be reliable but Realm Investment Management Limited does not warrant its completeness or accuracy.

This communication is not intended as a recommendation to invest in any particular asset class, security or strategy. Regulatory requirements that require impartiality of investment/investment strategy recommendations are therefore not applicable nor are any prohibitions to trade before publication. The information provided is for illustrative purposes only, it should not be relied upon as recommendations to buy or sell investments.’

Unexpected hikes last week but what will the Fed do this week?

This week is an important one for data. The latest Fed interest rate decision will be announced on Wednesday and before that, on Tuesday, the US CPI inflation data will be released so there is some uncertainty over what the Fed will do.

The European Central Bank will also be announcing it’s latest rate decision on Thursday – the market is expecting a further 0.25% increase and another in July.

Full report:
https://realmim.com/unexpected-hikes-last-week-but-what-will-the-fed-do-this-week/

Disclaimer: ‘Where the business has expressed opinions, they are based on current market conditions, they may differ from those of other investment professionals and are subject to change without notice. The information contained within this communication is believed to be reliable but Realm Investment Management Limited does not warrant its completeness or accuracy.

This communication is not intended as a recommendation to invest in any particular asset class, security or strategy. Regulatory requirements that require impartiality of investment/investment strategy recommendations are therefore not applicable nor are any prohibitions to trade before publication. The information provided is for illustrative purposes only, it should not be relied upon as recommendations to buy or sell investments.’

Market focus back on inflation and rates after agreement reached on debt ceiling

Market Review from Realm Investment Management – week ending 2nd June 2023

Stocks in Europe were broadly flat last week but the US had a strong week following the approval of the debt ceiling agreement.

US equities had a strong end to the week despite Friday’s payrolls report which showed the economy added 339,000 jobs in May. The number was much higher than expected and continues to indicate a tight labour market suggesting the Fed may not have room to cut rates any time soon.

Full report
https://realmim.com/market-focus-back-on-inflation-and-rates-after-agreement-reached-on-debt-ceiling/